Romania government set to win parliament majority - poll

* Leftist government has 57 pct support

* Centre-right alliance loses voters

* Election due on Sunday, Dec. 9

BUCHAREST, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Romania's leftist government is

likely to win an outright majority in parliament in an election

later on Sunday, an opinion poll showed on Tuesday.

The survey showed 57 percent of Romanians would vote for

Prime Minister Victor Ponta's Social Liberal Union (USL).

Previous polls have put USL support between 48 and around 60

percent.

If the USL fails to win a majority, analysts say

centre-right President Traian Basescu, who appoints the prime

minister, could refuse to nominate his rival Ponta again and may

try to put forward one of his allies to form a coalition,

prolonging uncertainty over the next government.

Such political turmoil could reignite uncertainty over

policymaking and about Romania's negotiations for a new

International Monetary Fund deal authorities plan to seal after

the current 5 billion euro agreement expires.

The USL failed to impeach Basescu earlier this year in a

bitter political battle that raised concerns over the rule of

law in the European Union's second-poorest member state.

The Right Romania Alliance (ARD), a new grouping of

centre-right parties dominated by the opposition Democrat

Liberals - allies of Basescu who are unpopular for past

austerity measures - have 17 percent support, the poll showed.

The previous poll a month ago showed ARD on 24 percent.

The populist party of media tycoon Dan Diaconescu, who

advocates steep tax cuts, is third with 15 percent, according to

the survey pollsters Avangarde and CURS.

The poll, commissioned by the public television broadcaster

TVR, surveyed 4,957 people between Nov. 27-Dec. 2 and had a

margin of error of 1.4 percent.

DATE INSTITUTE USL ARD PPDD UDMR

Dec 2012 Avangarde-CURS 57.0% 17.0% 15.0% 5.0%

Nov 2012 CSOP 48.0% 24.0% 14.0% 6.0%

Oct 2012 IMAS 57.4% 16.0% 14.9% 6.4%

Oct 2012 Public Affairs 52.1% 21.3% 11.7% 6.0%

USL PD-L PPDD UDMR

Sept 2012 IMAS 55.0% 17.8% 15.5% 5.3%

Aug 2012 IMAS 57.1% 17.8% 14.1% 5.8%

Aug 2012 IRES 54.0% 23.0% 10.0% 5.0%

July 2012 CURS 63.0% 19.0% 9.0% 6.0%

June 2012 IMAS 66.6% 12.7% 9.8% 4.3%

Notes:

USL - the ruling alliance of Social Democrats and Liberals

PDL - the opposition Democrat-Liberal party

ARD - new centre-right opposition alliance dominated by PDL

PPDD - Populist People's Party of media tycoon Dan Diaconescu

UDMR - Ethnic Hungarian party, junior ruling coalition member

(Reporting by Ioana Patran; Editing by Pravin Char)

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