* Wholesale and retail business up 3.8 pct, hospitality up
* Hotel guests in Dubai increase 9.6 pct in H1
* Growth may be higher in 2013
* Huge new real estate development to support growth
* Large debt repayments still overhang economy
DUBAI, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Dubai's economy expanded 4.1
percent from a year earlier in the first half of this year,
official data showed on Monday, indicating the Gulf's main trade
and financial hub is holding up well in a weak global
Foreign trade, including re-exports, rose 11.4 percent in
the first half, according to Reuters calculations. That was
roughly half the growth rate seen a year ago; in addition to
global conditions, international sanctions against Iran over its
nuclear programme have hit Dubai's trade with that country.
Nevertheless, Dubai's gross domestic product growth in the
first half was faster than 3.4 percent recorded in 2011. A major
reason was booming tourism.
Hotel guest numbers in the emirate jumped 9.6 percent to 5
million in January-June, while hotels and restaurants saw a 16.1
percent surge in their business, said Arif Obaid al-Muhairi,
executive director at the Dubai Statistics Center.
"These indicators are moving towards growth because of the
diversity of Dubai's tourism product," he said in a statement.
"That helps attract more tourists, which reflects positively on
demand in related activities and improves performance of the
Wholesale and retail businesses, which make up nearly a
third of Dubai's GDP, grew 3.8 percent in the first six months
of 2012. The real estate and business services sector rose 1.5
The Dubai housing market, where prices and rents crashed in
2008-2009, has been recovering gradually but bank lending in the
United Arab Emirates remains sluggish.
Muhairi said the Dubai government's latest plans for huge
tourism and retail developments would help boost tourist numbers
and contribute to economic growth.
Dubai's ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum
announced on Saturday a plan to build a massive complex that
would include 100 hotels, the world's largest shopping mall and
a park larger than London's Hyde Park.
"We see a strong growth outlook for Dubai next year,
supported with a continued favourable outlook for consumption
and a gradual pick-up in investment," said Monica Malik, chief
economist at EFG-Hermes in Dubai.
Dubai is still restructuring billions of dollars of debt in
the wake of the property crash, and its entities are expected to
face nearly $50 billion of liabilities maturing between 2014 and
2016. However, Malik said this debt overhang would not prevent
the emirate from obtaining sufficient financing.
"We see Dubai continuing to access foreign funding, which
remains vital both for supporting the investment programme and
for the debt management position."
The government has said it expects Dubai's GDP to rise more
than 4 percent in 2013.