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YOUR FRIENDS' ACTIVITY

    UPDATE 4-Oil flat near $118 as EU demand fears ease

    * Positive German data outweighs Moody's downgrades

    * Middle East tensions continue to support

    * Coming up: API weekly inventories report at 2130 GMT

    (Recasts, adds fresh quotes, updates prices)

    LONDON, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices held steady on

    Tuesday as better-than-expected German economic data and a

    successful Italian bond auction eased fears about European

    demand, while worries about supply disruption due to Middle East

    tensions continued to underpin the market.

    Brent crude futures rose 11 cents to $118.04 a

    barrel at 1137 GMT. U.S. crude was up 47 cents to $101.38

    a barrel.

    Analysts and traders said good newsflow out of Europe had

    helped the euro rally against the dollar and lifted risk assets

    as investor sentiment about European demand growth had improved.

    "We had some successful bond auctions out of Italy, and the

    German data was better than expected," said Michael Hewson, an

    analyst at CMC Markets. "That has taken the sting out of the

    Moody's downgrades."

    The German ZEW survey, which measures analyst and investor

    sentiment, surprised on the upside, bolstering hopes Europe's

    largest economy was holding up despite the debt crisis.

    Both oil contracts had been somewhat weaker earlier in the

    session after Moody's warned it might cut the top ratings of

    France, Britain and Austria by assigning their triple A debt

    ratings a negative outlook.

    It also downgraded Italy, Spain and Portugal, citing

    uncertainty over the prospects for fiscal and economic reform in

    the euro area and the weak economic outlook in Europe.

    Hewson said ratings agencies had lost the capacity to shock.

    "If we had had these downgrades three years ago we would have

    seen a significant sell off ... but all we saw was a bit of

    profit-taking," he said.

    "It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that European

    countries face some difficult challenges," added Michael

    Poulsen, oil analyst at Global Risk Management. "We saw the S&P

    downgrade about a month ago on almost the same countries."

    Olivier Jakob, oil analyst at Petromatrix in Switzerland,

    added that Brent had lost some of the support it had enjoyed

    from the refined products complex after the extremely cold

    weather conditions of the last two weeks eased.

    "The cold blast in Europe is over. Yesterday we had some

    pressure on the gasoil crack, gasoil has not been able

    to move above $1,000 a tonne, and that has put a lid on Brent,"

    he said.

    MIDDLE EAST VIOLENCE

    Oil prices remain underpinned by ongoing tension in the

    Middle East, with Israel accusing Iran and its Lebanese ally

    Hezbollah of being behind two bomb attacks that targeted Israeli

    embassy staff in India and Georgia on Monday.

    Iran and Israel are already at loggerheads over Tehran's

    nuclear programme.

    Violence also spread in Syria as troops bombarded opposition

    strongholds, entering a 10th day of shelling and sniper fire in

    the city.

    Meanwhile oil production and exports from Yemen's Masila

    oilfield, the country's largest, have stopped after workers from

    state-owned PetroMasila went on strike last Thursday.

    "Worries remain on the supply of crude in the Middle East,

    which should be built into Brent," said Tony Nunan, a risk

    manager with Mitsubishi Corp in Tokyo. "The worsening of the

    situation in Iran or Syria could cause a shift in Brent prices."

    The American Petroleum Institute will release its weekly

    report on U.S. crude stocks on Tuesday at 2130 GMT.

    A Reuters poll of analysts is forecasting a rise in U.S.

    crude oil inventories for a fourth week in a row due to higher

    imports and lower refinery utilisation.

    On average, domestic crude stockpiles are expected to add

    1.9 million barrels in the week to Feb. 10, with six out of

    seven analysts predicting a build.

    (Additional reporting by Jessica Jaganathan in Singapore;

    editing by James Jukwey)

     

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